B6 177 · BOS → LAS

departs 6:12 PM ET · arrives 9:09 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

LAS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 177 · BOS → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?