Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1963
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
B6 1963 · HYA → JFK
departs 4:53 PM ET · arrives 6:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 30%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave HYA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at JFK that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
HYA is quiet at that time
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HYA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.02 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.