B6 2049 · BUF → RSW

departs 11:07 AM ET · arrives 2:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ RSW is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

↓ 11am departures from BUF are usually not late

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2049 · BUF → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?