Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2490
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
B6 2490 · SJU → EWR
departs 9:30 PM AT · arrives 1:32 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 2.2 in of rain forecast at SJU that day
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SJU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 2,300 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 2.24 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.