B6 915 · BOS → BUF

departs 12:02 PM ET · arrives 1:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BOS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

BUF (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 915 · BOS → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?