Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1001
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
DL 1001 · ATL → JAX
departs 9:45 PM ET · arrives 11:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 26%
Fri 10/9 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.43 in
JAX (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.