Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1133
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 1133 · MCO → DTW
departs 9:08 PM ET · arrives 11:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.31 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.