DL 115 · OPO → JFK

took off 12:36 PM WEST · expected to land 2:44 PM ET (scheduled 12:45 PM WEST → 3:19 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at JFK that day

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at OPO

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

OPO (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

JFK (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 115 · OPO → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?