Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1170
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 1170 · ATL → AUS
departs 6:59 PM ET · arrives 8:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sat 10/3 41%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.35 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.