DL 1174 · ATL → PHL

departs 8:23 PM ET · arrives 10:29 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ 8pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at PHL that day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.33 in

PHL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1174 · ATL → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?