DL 1186 · ATL → TUL

departs 2:55 PM ET · arrives 3:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ 2pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.33 in

TUL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1186 · ATL → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?