Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1192
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 1192 · RDU → ATL
departs 6:20 AM ET · arrives 7:46 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at RDU that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from RDU are usually not late
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.34 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.