Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1278 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

DL 1278 · ATL → JAN

departs 4:22 PM ET · arrives 4:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at ATL that day

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ JAN usually runs smoothly

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.03 in

JAN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1278 · ATL → JAN

Odds over time