DL 1307 · IAH → DTW

departs 3:20 PM CT · arrives 6:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at IAH that day

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1307 · IAH → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?