Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1361
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 1361 · RSW → ATL
departs 6:45 AM ET · arrives 8:33 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 5%
Thu 10/8 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Other factors
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from RSW are usually not late
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.46 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 1.80 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.