Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1370
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 1370 · MCO → RDU
departs 8:00 PM ET · arrives 9:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 14%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at RDU that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
RDU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.