Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1522
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 1522 · CMH → ATL
departs 12:48 PM ET · arrives 2:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sat 10/3 6%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 1.80 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.