Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1576
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 1576 · ATL → BGR
departs 10:54 AM ET · arrives 1:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 12%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±4 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at BGR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BGR?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Other factors
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
BGR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.96 in
BGR (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.