Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1594
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
DL 1594 · TPA → ATL
departs 8:02 PM ET · arrives 9:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 24%
Thu 10/8 12%
Fri 10/9 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±7 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.