Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1600
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 1600 · CVG → RSW
departs 7:31 AM ET · arrives 9:46 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.