Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1714
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
DL 1714 · LAX → SEA
departs 9:45 AM PT · arrives 12:30 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 15%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
9am departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.