Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1743 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

DL 1743 · ATL → TYS

departs 10:10 AM ET · arrives 11:10 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at TYS that day

↑ Other factors

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into TYS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.67 in

TYS (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.49 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1743 · ATL → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?