DL 1817 · ATL → TYS

departs 8:32 AM ET · arrives 9:34 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at TYS that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Arrivals into TYS at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.12 in

TYS (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1817 · ATL → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?