DL 1843 · GEG → ATL

departs 10:48 PM PT · arrives 6:05 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

GEG (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.54 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1843 · GEG → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?