DL 1858 · ATL → CVG

departs 9:48 PM ET · arrives 11:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at ATL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.03 in

CVG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1858 · ATL → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?