DL 1900 · SAN → DTW

departs 2:36 PM PT · arrives 9:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts +35 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
51%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ SAN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1900 · SAN → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?