Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2011
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 2011 · AUS → ATL
departs 1:20 PM CT · arrives 4:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
1pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.80 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.