DL 201 · JNB → ATL

departs 9:57 PM SAST · arrives 7:52 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at ATL that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at JNB

↓ Other factors

↓ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

JNB (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

ATL (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 201 · JNB → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?