Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2026
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 2026 · RDU → ATL
departs 3:35 PM ET · arrives 5:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at RDU that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.24 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.96 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.