Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2044
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
DL 2044 · HPN → ATL
departs 12:54 PM ET · arrives 3:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
HPN is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
HPN is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
HPN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.51 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.