DL 2057 · SFO → DTW

departs 11:44 AM PT · arrives 7:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from SFO are often late

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2057 · SFO → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?