Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2140
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 2140 · IAH → LGA
departs 10:50 AM CT · arrives 3:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at LGA that day
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
10am departures from IAH are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.