Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2153
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
DL 2153 · ATL → CAE
departs 4:08 PM ET · arrives 5:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 19%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at CAE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CAE?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
4pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CAE that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.33 in
CAE (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.