Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2336
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
DL 2336 · ORD → LGA
departs 5:35 PM CT · arrives 9:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 37%
Fri 10/9 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
31%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
5pm departures from ORD are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.