Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2395
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 2395 · ATL → CVG
departs 11:11 PM ET · arrives 12:39 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.1 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
11pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.09 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.