Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2438
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
DL 2438 · SRQ → ATL
departs 3:18 PM ET · arrives 5:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 11%
Fri 10/9 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
41%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SRQ
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.