DL 2440 · ATL → JAX

departs 4:41 PM ET · arrives 5:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JAX?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
33%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at JAX that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.54 in

JAX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.67 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2440 · ATL → JAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAX?