Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2451
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 2451 · VPS → ATL
departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 9:18 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 3.0 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from VPS are usually not late
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 3.03 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.