Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2470
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
DL 2470 · BHM → ATL
departs 7:46 PM CT · arrives 10:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 14%
Fri 10/9 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at BHM that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BHM (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.51 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.51 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.