Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2568
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 2568 · LAX → SAT
departs 9:55 AM PT · arrives 2:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SAT that day
↑
SAT is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SAT (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.