Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2605
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 2605 · ATL → TPA
departs 7:25 AM ET · arrives 8:54 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 4%
Thu 10/8 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Other factors
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.35 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.