Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2740
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
DL 2740 · ORD → ATL
departs 6:22 PM CT · arrives 9:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 15%
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 6 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.