Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2803
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 2803 · VPS → ATL
departs 7:32 PM CT · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 13%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.1 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.2 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 2.16 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 2.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.