DL 280 · PVG → SEA

departs 5:32 PM CST · arrives 2:21 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVG

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

PVG (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SEA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 280 · PVG → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?