Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2814
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
DL 2814 · DTW → BDL
departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 4:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 12%
Fri 10/9 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
2pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Arrivals into BDL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BDL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.