Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2976
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 2976 · ATL → AUS
departs 8:10 AM ET · arrives 9:27 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.80 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.