Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3001
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 3001 · BNA → ATL
departs 6:18 AM CT · arrives 8:30 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.6 mi
Precip 0.40 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 1.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.