DL 3007 · ABE → ATL

took off 7:43 PM ET · expected to land 9:28 PM ET (scheduled 6:04 PM ET → 8:20 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
96%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ATL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ABE (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

ATL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3.85714 mi Precip0.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3007 · ABE → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?