DL 3021 · ATL → PNS

took off 7:23 PM ET · landed 7:14 PM CT (scheduled 7:49 PM ET → 8:04 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PNS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day

↑ 7pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ATL that day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling520 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.36 in

PNS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip3.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3021 · ATL → PNS

Odds over time

How late did it get to PNS?