Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3038
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 3038 · CAE → ATL
departs 5:35 AM ET · arrives 6:40 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Sat 10/3 5%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 4%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 5%
Thu 10/8 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave CAE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.9 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at CAE that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from CAE are usually not late
Weather at each end
CAE (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.9 mi
Precip 1.16 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 1.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.